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Title: | Forecast Evaluation of Explanatory Models of Financial Return Variability |
Keywords: | C53 C52 F37 F31 ddc:330 Return variability forecasting financial volatility explanatory modelling Kapitalertrag Wechselkurs Volatilität Prognoseverfahren Zeitreihenanalyse Vergleich Simulation Theorie |
Issue Date: | 16-Oct-2013 |
Publisher: | Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Kiel |
Description: | A practice that has become widespread is that of comparing forecasts of financial return variability obtained from discrete time models against high frequency estimates based on continuous time theory. In explanatory financial return variability modelling this raises several methodological and practical issues, which suggests an alternative framework is needed. The contribution of this study is twofold. First, the finite sample properties of operational and practical procedures for the forecast evaluation of explanatory discrete time models of financial return variability are studied. Second, with basis in the simulation results a simple framework is proposed and illustrated. |
URI: | http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/17990 |
Other Identifiers: | http://hdl.handle.net/10419/17990 ppn:565667246 RePEc:zbw:ifwedp:7263 |
Appears in Collections: | EconStor |
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