Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://dspace.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/18372
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dc.creatorGottschalk, Jan-
dc.creatorFritsche, Ulrich-
dc.date2005-
dc.date.accessioned2013-10-16T06:59:40Z-
dc.date.available2013-10-16T06:59:40Z-
dc.date.issued2013-10-16-
dc.identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/18372-
dc.identifierppn:504313746-
dc.identifier.urihttp://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/18372-
dc.descriptionNew-Keynesian macroeconomic models typically assume that any long-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment is ruled out. While this appears to be a reasonable characterization of the US economy, it is less clear that the natural rate hypothesis necessarily holds in a European country like Germany where hysteretic effects may invalidate it. Inspired by the framework developed by Farmer (2000) and Beyer and Farmer (2002), we investigate the long-run relationships between the interest rate, unemployment and inflation in West Germany from the early 1960s up to 2004 using a multivariate cointegration analysis technique. The results point to a structural break in the late 1970s. In the later time period we find for West German data a strong negative correlation between the trend components of inflation and unemployment. We show that this finding contradicts the natural rate hypothesis, introduce a version of the New Keynesian model which allows for some hysteresis and compare the effectiveness of monetary policy in these two models. In general, a policy rule with an aggressive response to a rise in unemployment performs better in a model with hysteretic characteristics than in a model without.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.publisherDeutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW) Berlin-
dc.relationDIW-Diskussionspapiere 521-
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen-
dc.subjectC32-
dc.subjectB22-
dc.subjectE24-
dc.subjectddc:330-
dc.subjectCointegration-
dc.subjectVector Error CorrectionModel-
dc.subjectUnemployment-
dc.subjectPhillips Curve-
dc.subjectHysteresis-
dc.titleThe New Keynesian Model and the Long-Run Vertical Phillips Curve: Does It Hold for Germany?-
dc.typedoc-type:workingPaper-
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