Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://dspace.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19510
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dc.creatorEickmeier, Sandra-
dc.date2005-
dc.date.accessioned2013-10-16T07:05:22Z-
dc.date.available2013-10-16T07:05:22Z-
dc.date.issued2013-10-16-
dc.identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/19510-
dc.identifierppn:480971919-
dc.identifierRePEc:zbw:bubdp1:2936-
dc.identifier.urihttp://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19510-
dc.descriptionIn this paper we rely on techniques recently developed by Bai and Ng (2004a) to estimate common euro-area stationary and non-stationary factors using a large-scale dynamic factor model. We find that euro-area economies share four non-stationary factors or trends and one stationary factor. By means of rotation techniques, we estimate a euro-area business cycle which is a fairly good match to EuroCOIN, the euro-area coincident business cycle indicator published by the CEPR. Fluctuations of common euro-area factors mainly reflect variations of German and French real economic activity as well as of producer prices and financial prices (long-term interest rates and/or real effective exchange rates) in various countries. As concerns the transmission channels, macroeconomic shocks seem to proliferate in the euro area more strongly through trade, exchange rates and long-term interest rates than through stock prices. Among the external driving forces, shocks to US economic activity seem to be more strongly linked to shocks to the euro-area factors than oil price shocks. We finally find evidence of mild overall convergence; results for individual countries are mixed.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.relationDiscussion paper Series 1 / Volkswirtschaftliches Forschungszentrum der Deutschen Bundesbank 2005,02-
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen-
dc.subjectC50-
dc.subjectF40-
dc.subjectF02-
dc.subjectC32-
dc.subjectddc:330-
dc.subjectDynamic factor models-
dc.subjectfactor rotation-
dc.subjectcommon trends-
dc.subjectinternational business cycles-
dc.subjectinternational transmission channels-
dc.subjectKonjunkturzusammenhang-
dc.subjectEuropäische Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion-
dc.subjectFaktorenanalyse-
dc.subjectSchätzung-
dc.subjectEU-Staaten-
dc.titleCommon stationary and non-stationary factors in the euro area analyzed in a large-scale factor model-
dc.typedoc-type:workingPaper-
dc.coverage1981-2003-
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