Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://dspace.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19653
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dc.creatorBohl, Martin T.-
dc.creatorDöpke, Jörg-
dc.creatorPierdzioch, Christian-
dc.date2006-
dc.date.accessioned2013-10-16T07:06:08Z-
dc.date.available2013-10-16T07:06:08Z-
dc.date.issued2013-10-16-
dc.identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/19653-
dc.identifierppn:516360485-
dc.identifierRePEc:zbw:bubdp1:4723-
dc.identifier.urihttp://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19653-
dc.descriptionUsing monthly data for the period 1953-2003, we apply a real-time modeling approach to investigate the implications of U.S. political stock market anomalies for forecasting excess stock returns. Our empirical findings show that political variables, selected on the basis of widely used model selection criteria, are often included in real-time forecasting models. However, they do not contribute to systematically improving the performance of simple trading rules. For this reason, political stock market anomalies are not necessarily an indication of market inefficiency.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.relationDiscussion paper Series 1 / Volkswirtschaftliches Forschungszentrum der Deutschen Bundesbank 2006,22-
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen-
dc.subjectG14-
dc.subjectG11-
dc.subjectddc:330-
dc.subjectPolitical stock market anomalies-
dc.subjectpredictability of stock returns-
dc.subjectefficient markets hypothesis-
dc.subjectreal-time forecasting-
dc.subjectBörsenkurs-
dc.subjectKapitalertrag-
dc.subjectPrognose-
dc.subjectPolitische Partei-
dc.subjectEffizienzmarktthese-
dc.subjectUSA-
dc.titleReal-time forecasting and political stock market anomalies: evidence for the U.S.-
dc.typedoc-type:workingPaper-
dc.coverage1953-2002-
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