Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://dspace.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19796
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dc.creatorSawischlewski, Katja-
dc.creatorMenkhoff, Lukas-
dc.creatorBeckmann, Daniela-
dc.date2005-
dc.date.accessioned2013-10-16T07:06:51Z-
dc.date.available2013-10-16T07:06:51Z-
dc.date.issued2013-10-16-
dc.identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/19796-
dc.identifierppn:500741735-
dc.identifierRePEc:zbw:gdec05:3476-
dc.identifier.urihttp://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19796-
dc.descriptionEarly warning systems (EWSs) are subject to restrictions that apply to exchange rates in general: fundamentals matter but their influence is small and unstable. Keeping this in mind, five lessons emerge : First, EWSs have robust forecasting power and thus help policy-makers to prevent crises. Second, among competing crisis definitions there is one which is most practical. Third, take a logit model to condense information from various fundamental variables. Fourth, add a regional contagion dummy to the standard set of variables. Fifth, one may be tempted to address instability over time and countries by taking shorter samples and regional EWSs.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.publisher-
dc.relationProceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Kiel 2005 / Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics 3-
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen-
dc.subjectF31-
dc.subjectF33-
dc.subjectF37-
dc.subjectddc:330-
dc.subjectearly warning system-
dc.subjectcurrency crises-
dc.subjectemerging markets-
dc.titleRobust Lessons about Practical Early Warning Systems-
dc.typedoc-type:conferenceObject-
Appears in Collections:EconStor

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