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Determinants of Business Cycles in Small Scale Macroeconomic Models: The German Case

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dc.creator Maußner, Alfred
dc.creator Spatz, Julius
dc.date 2003
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T06:57:20Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T06:57:20Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/17900
dc.identifier ppn:363645098
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/17900
dc.description We identify measures of shocks to total factor productivity and preferences from two real business cycle models and subject them to Granger causality tests to see whether they can be considered exogenous to other plausible sources of the German business cycle. For the period 60.i to 89.iv no variable Granger causes the shock measures, and for the period 70.i to 01.iv, only M3 does. We attribute the latter result to the breaks in our time series associated with the German reunification in 1990 and the European Monetary Union in 1999. We, thus, find no evidence to reject the exogeneity of our shock measures. Our findings contrast with similar studies for other countries that question the exogeneity of either productivity or preference shocks.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Kiel
dc.relation Kieler Arbeitspapiere 1158
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject O47
dc.subject E32
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Real Business Cycles
dc.subject Solow Residual
dc.subject Granger Causality
dc.subject Konjunktur
dc.subject Real Business Cycle
dc.subject Ökonometrisches Makromodell
dc.subject Schock
dc.subject Produktivität
dc.subject Präferenztheorie
dc.subject Kausalanalyse
dc.subject Schätzung
dc.subject Deutschland
dc.subject Solow Residual
dc.title Determinants of Business Cycles in Small Scale Macroeconomic Models: The German Case
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper
dc.coverage 1960-1989


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