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The 'Pre-Eminence of Theory' versus the 'General-to-Specific' Cointegrated VAR Perspectives in Macro-Econometric Modeling

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dc.creator Spanos, Aris
dc.date 2008
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T06:57:52Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T06:57:52Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/17997
dc.identifier ppn:570327946
dc.identifier RePEc:zbw:ifwedp:7336
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/17997
dc.description The primary aim of the paper is to place current methodological discussions on empirical modeling contrasting the 'theory first' versus the 'data first' perspectives in the context of a broader methodological framework with a view to constructively appraise them. In particular, the paper focuses on Colander?s argument in his paper ?Economists, Incentives, Judgement and Empirical Work? relating to the two different perspectives in Europe and the US that are currently dominating empirical macro-econometric modeling and delves deeper into their methodological/philosophical foundations. It is argued that the key to establishing a constructive dialogue between them is provided by a better understanding of the role of data in modern statistical inference, and how that relates to the centuries old issue of the realisticness of economic theories.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Kiel
dc.relation Economics Discussion Papers / Institut für Weltwirtschaft 2008-25
dc.rights http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.0/de/deed.en
dc.subject C1
dc.subject B4
dc.subject C3
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Econometric methodology
dc.subject ?general-to-specific?
dc.subject pre-eminence of theory
dc.subject VAR
dc.subject statistical adequacy
dc.subject realisticness of theory
dc.subject statistical model
dc.subject Ökonometrisches Makromodell
dc.subject Wissenschaftliche Methode
dc.subject VAR-Modell
dc.subject Theorie
dc.title The 'Pre-Eminence of Theory' versus the 'General-to-Specific' Cointegrated VAR Perspectives in Macro-Econometric Modeling
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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