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On the Role of Stock Market for Real Economic Activity: Evidence for Europe

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dc.creator Siliverstovs, Boriss
dc.creator Duong, Manh Ha
dc.date 2006
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T07:00:14Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T07:00:14Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/18492
dc.identifier ppn:514149752
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/18492
dc.description In this study we have addressed the relationship between the stock market, the measure of real economic activity (represented by the real GDP), the economic sentiment indicator, and real interest rate for the five European countries: Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands, and the UK. We find that even when accounting for expectations, represented by the economic sentiment indicator, the stock market has certain predictive content for the real economic activity. At the same time, the relationship between the economic sentiment indicator and the real activity seems to be more articulated than that between the latter variable and the stock market. We also have shown that the developments in the national stock markets are explained by the common factor shared by all of them. The greater relative importance of the economic sentiment indicator for the real GDP when compared to that of the stock market can be traced to the fact that the real economic activity is still shaped more by the domestic shocks rather than the global ones, i.e. those reflected in the stock market.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW) Berlin
dc.relation DIW-Diskussionspapiere 599
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject G15
dc.subject E44
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Stock market
dc.subject Real Activity
dc.subject Economic Sentiment Indicator
dc.title On the Role of Stock Market for Real Economic Activity: Evidence for Europe
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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