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Testing sustainability of German fiscal policy : evidence for the period 1960 - 2003

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dc.creator Greiner, Alfred
dc.creator Koeller, Uwe
dc.creator Semmler, Willi
dc.date 2005
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T07:01:10Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T07:01:10Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/18750
dc.identifier ppn:479269688
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/18750
dc.description In this paper we test whether German public debt has been sustainable by resorting to a test proposed by Bohn (1998). We apply non-parametric and semi-parametric regressions with time depending coefficients. This test shows that the mean of the coefficient relevant for sustainability has been significantly positive over the time period considered. However, there is a negative trend in that coefficient which seems to have ceased to decline only in the middle to late 1990s. Further, we find evidence that the response of the primary deficit is a Ushaped function of the debt ratio which first declines and then rises after a certain threshold of the debt ratio is exceeded.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher
dc.relation CESifo working papers 1386
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject H63
dc.subject E62
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject public debt
dc.subject intertemporal budget constraint
dc.subject varying coefficient model
dc.subject nonparametric estimation
dc.subject Öffentliche Schulden
dc.subject Haushaltsdefizit
dc.subject Finanzpolitik
dc.subject Verschuldungsrestriktion
dc.subject Intertemporales Gleichgewicht
dc.subject Schätzung
dc.subject Deutschland
dc.title Testing sustainability of German fiscal policy : evidence for the period 1960 - 2003
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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