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Fiscal institutions, fiscal policy and sovereign risk premia

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dc.creator Hallerberg, Mark
dc.creator Wolff, Guntram B.
dc.date 2006
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T07:06:11Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T07:06:11Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/19664
dc.identifier ppn:519430557
dc.identifier RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:5099
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19664
dc.description We investigate the effect of fiscal institutions such as the strength of the finance minister in the budget process and deficits on interest spreads contained in bond yields of the countries now belonging to the Eurozone. Deficits significantly increase risk premia measured by relative swap spreads. The effect of deficits is significantly lower under EMU. This effect partly results from neglecting the role of fiscal institutions. After controlling for institutional changes, fiscal policy remains a significant determinant of risk premia. We find that better institutions are connected with lower risk premia. Furthermore deficits and surpluses matter less for risk premia in countries with better institutions. This reflects the market perception, that better institutions will reduce fiscal dificulties and make the monitoring of annual developments less important. The results are robust to controlling for country fixed effects and different estimation methodologies.
dc.language eng
dc.relation Discussion paper Series 1 / Volkswirtschaftliches Forschungszentrum der Deutschen Bundesbank 2006,35
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject E43
dc.subject H61
dc.subject H62
dc.subject G12
dc.subject G15
dc.subject E62
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Budget institutions
dc.subject fiscal rules
dc.subject sovereign risk premia
dc.subject EMU
dc.subject fiscal policy
dc.subject government bond yields
dc.subject Finanzpolitik
dc.subject Regelgebundene Politik
dc.subject Haushaltsdefizit
dc.subject Öffentliche Schulden
dc.subject Öffentliche Anleihe
dc.subject Länderrisiko
dc.subject Risikoprämie
dc.subject Schätzung
dc.subject Europäische Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion
dc.subject EU-Staaten
dc.title Fiscal institutions, fiscal policy and sovereign risk premia
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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