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Uncertainty about perceived inflation target and monetary policy

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dc.creator Aoki, Kosuke
dc.creator Kimura, Takeshi
dc.date 2007
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T07:06:20Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T07:06:20Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/19695
dc.identifier ppn:543474283
dc.identifier RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:6139
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/19695
dc.description We analyse the interaction between private agents? uncertainty about inflation target and the central bank's data uncertainty. In our model, private agents update their perceived inflation target and the central bank estimates unobservable economic shocks as well as the perceived inflation target. Under those two uncertainties, the learning process of both private agents and the central bank causes higher order beliefs to become relevant, and this mechanism is capable of generating high persistence and volatility of inflation even though the underlying shocks are purely transitory. We also find that the persistence and volatility become smaller as the inflation target becomes more credible, that is, the private agents' uncertainty about inflation target (and hence the bank's data uncertainty) diminishes.
dc.language eng
dc.relation Discussion paper Series 1 / Volkswirtschaftliches Forschungszentrum der Deutschen Bundesbank 2007,18
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject E58
dc.subject E52
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Monetary policy
dc.subject central banks
dc.subject Inflation Targeting
dc.subject Glaubwürdigkeit
dc.subject Risiko
dc.subject Inflationserwartung
dc.subject Geldpolitik
dc.subject Inflation
dc.subject Volatilität
dc.subject Theorie
dc.title Uncertainty about perceived inflation target and monetary policy
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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