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Strong exports and low interest rates drive Euroland's economy

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dc.creator Gern, Klaus-Jürgen
dc.creator Meier, Carsten-Patrick
dc.creator Scheide, Joachim
dc.creator Schlie, Markus
dc.date 1999
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T06:01:51Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T06:01:51Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier urn:isbn:3894562013
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/2313
dc.identifier ppn:303512946
dc.identifier RePEc:zbw:ifwkdp:353
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/2313
dc.description In the fall of 1999, the recovery in Euroland is back on track. The turnaround was caused by the improvement in the world economy. After exports had been depressed in the past winter due to the weak demand in the crisis countries particularly in Asia, the impulses from abroad have picked up again. Furthermore, monetary policy has been expansionary, especially after the reduction of key interest rates in April this year. All in all, the upswing will gain momentum and will continue in the year 2000. In this paper, rules for monetary policy which are being discussed in the literature are used to gauge the stance of monetary policy. The conclusion is that interest rates will have to be raised if the reference path for money shall not be exceeded and if the target for inflation shall be achieved. Furthermore, the differences in growth rates of output across Euroland's economies are analyzed; it is found that there has been no significant convergence of income levels during the past decade. Finally, it is analyzed why inflation rates have differed in recent years. The main reason appears to be that the prices for nontradables in the various countries show different rates of change over time. Since such differences can also be expected for the future, inflation rates will not be equal, i.e., there will also be changes in real exchange rates in the monetary union. However, there is no reason for monetary policy to be concerned about this.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Kiel
dc.relation Kieler Diskussionsbeiträge 353
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Konjunktur
dc.subject Konjunkturprognose
dc.subject Außenwirtschaft
dc.subject Zins
dc.subject Geldpolitik
dc.subject Sozialprodukt
dc.subject Entwicklungskonvergenz
dc.subject Inflation
dc.subject Nicht-handelbares Gut
dc.subject Europäische Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion
dc.subject EU-Staaten
dc.title Strong exports and low interest rates drive Euroland's economy
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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