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A farewell to critical junctures: Sorting out long-run causality of income and democracy

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dc.creator Gundlach, Erich
dc.creator Paldam, Martin
dc.date 2008
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-16T06:55:41Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-16T06:55:41Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-16
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10419/4247
dc.identifier ppn:560698240
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/10419/4247
dc.description We consider the empirical relevance of two opposing hypotheses on the causality between income and democracy: The Democratic Transition hypothesis claims that rising incomes cause a transition to democracy, whereas the Critical Junctures hypothesis denies this causal relation. Our empirical strategy is motivated by Unified Growth Theory, which hypothesizes that the present international income differences have roots in the prehistoric past. Thus, we use prehistoric measures of biogeography as instruments for modern income levels, and find a large long-run causal effect of income on the degree of democracy. This result rejects the Critical Junctures hypothesis, which is an important part of the Primacy of Institutions view.
dc.language eng
dc.publisher Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Kiel
dc.relation Kieler Arbeitspapiere 1410
dc.rights http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
dc.subject O1
dc.subject B25
dc.subject ddc:330
dc.subject Long-run growth
dc.subject Democracy
dc.subject Unified growth theory
dc.subject Biogeography
dc.subject Wirtschaftswachstum
dc.subject Wachstumstheorie
dc.subject Demokratisierung
dc.subject Evolutionsökonomik
dc.subject Ökonomische Theorie der Demokratie
dc.title A farewell to critical junctures: Sorting out long-run causality of income and democracy
dc.type doc-type:workingPaper


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