| dc.contributor |
Webster, Mort David. |
|
| dc.contributor |
Babiker, Mustafa H.M. |
|
| dc.contributor |
Mayer, Monika. |
|
| dc.contributor |
Reilly, John M. |
|
| dc.contributor |
Harnisch, Jochen. |
|
| dc.contributor |
Hyman, Robert C. |
|
| dc.contributor |
Sarofim, Marcus C. |
|
| dc.contributor |
Wang, Chien. |
|
| dc.date |
2003-10-24T14:55:56Z |
|
| dc.date |
2003-10-24T14:55:56Z |
|
| dc.date |
2001-08 |
|
| dc.date.accessioned |
2013-10-09T02:31:08Z |
|
| dc.date.available |
2013-10-09T02:31:08Z |
|
| dc.date.issued |
2013-10-09 |
|
| dc.identifier |
no. 79 |
|
| dc.identifier |
http://mit.edu/globalchange/www/abstracts.html#a79 |
|
| dc.identifier |
http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/3566 |
|
| dc.identifier.uri |
http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/1721 |
|
| dc.description |
Future global climate projections are subject to large uncertainties. Major sources of this uncertainty are projections of anthropogenic emissions. We evaluate the uncertainty in future anthropogenic emissions using a computable general equilibrium model of the world economy. Results are simulated through 2100 for carbon dioxide (CO₂), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N₂O), hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluorocarbons (PFCs) and sulfur hexafluoride (SF6), sulfur dioxide (SO₂), black carbon (BC) and organic carbon (OC), nitrogen oxides (NOx), carbon monoxide (CO), ammonia (NH3) and non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs). We construct mean and upper and lower 95% emissions scenarios (available from the authors at 1 degree by 1 degree latitude-longitude grid). Using the MIT Integrated Global System Model (IGSM), we find a temperature change range in 2100 of 0.9 to 4.0 degrees C, compared with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change emissions scenarios that result in a range of 1.3 to 3.6 degrees C when simulated through MIT IGSM. |
|
| dc.description |
Abstract in HTML and technical report in PDF available on the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change website (http://mit.edu/globalchange/www/) |
|
| dc.description |
Includes bibliographical references (p. 23-25). |
|
| dc.format |
25 p. |
|
| dc.format |
678825 bytes |
|
| dc.format |
application/pdf |
|
| dc.language |
eng |
|
| dc.publisher |
MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change |
|
| dc.relation |
Report no. 79 |
|
| dc.rights |
http://mit.edu/globalchange/www/abstracts.html#a79 |
|
| dc.subject |
QC981.8.C5.M58 no.79 |
|
| dc.title |
Uncertainty in emissions projections for climate models |
|