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Online Learning of Non-stationary Sequences

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dc.creator Monteleoni, Claire
dc.date 2004-10-20T20:32:01Z
dc.date 2004-10-20T20:32:01Z
dc.date 2003-06-12
dc.date.accessioned 2013-10-09T02:48:23Z
dc.date.available 2013-10-09T02:48:23Z
dc.date.issued 2013-10-09
dc.identifier AITR-2003-011
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/7107
dc.identifier.uri http://koha.mediu.edu.my:8181/xmlui/handle/1721
dc.description We consider an online learning scenario in which the learner can make predictions on the basis of a fixed set of experts. The performance of each expert may change over time in a manner unknown to the learner. We formulate a class of universal learning algorithms for this problem by expressing them as simple Bayesian algorithms operating on models analogous to Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). We derive a new performance bound for such algorithms which is considerably simpler than existing bounds. The bound provides the basis for learning the rate at which the identity of the optimal expert switches over time. We find an analytic expression for the a priori resolution at which we need to learn the rate parameter. We extend our scalar switching-rate result to models of the switching-rate that are governed by a matrix of parameters, i.e. arbitrary homogeneous HMMs. We apply and examine our algorithm in the context of the problem of energy management in wireless networks. We analyze the new results in the framework of Information Theory.
dc.format 48 p.
dc.format 1815576 bytes
dc.format 911860 bytes
dc.format application/postscript
dc.format application/pdf
dc.language en_US
dc.relation AITR-2003-011
dc.subject AI
dc.subject online learning
dc.subject relative loss bounds
dc.subject switching dynamics
dc.subject wireless
dc.subject 802.11
dc.title Online Learning of Non-stationary Sequences


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